NREL Annual Technology Baseline


nrel

Cost and performance projections for electricity generation and storage technologies, to 2050, in three scenarios.

Before you use this

  • Projections, not observations. Every value is conditional on the scenario it sits in, and comparing figures across scenarios or across ATB vintages is a category error.
Completeness level 2 · Interpretable3 fields describedEmerging technology parametersCost & financial
  • ProvenanceUntraced
  • DocumentationPartially documented
  • Currency & maintenanceCurrent

How many layers of assumptions sit under this is not recorded. That is not the same as none.

The canonical US technology cost stack: capital cost, fixed and variable O&M, capacity factor and financing assumptions by technology and year, under conservative, moderate and advanced trajectories. Cataloged as one dataset with two domain facets rather than as two records — the storage tables and the generation tables are the same publication and splitting them would double every future update.

Identifier
https://catalog.opengrid.org/ds/nrel-atb
Domains
Emerging technology parameters, Cost & financial
Keywords
ATB, NREL, capex, cost, projection, storage, technology

Fitness for purpose

Supports
Capacity Expansion Modeling, Market Simulation
Not suitable for
Production Cost Modeling

The exclusions are the half you cannot get anywhere else. A dataset that is wrong for your question is worth knowing about before you build on it.

Structure

Network topology
Not captured
Impedances
Not captured
Voltage classes
Not captured